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Amazon Stock Surges 20%: Can the Rally Survive Earnings?
Written by Sam Quirke. Date Posted: 4/14/2026.
Key Points
- Amazon has popped 20% in just a few weeks, marking its strongest run in months and breaking out of a prolonged period of underperformance.
- Improving sentiment around its AI investments and the potential Globalstar deal are helping to shift the narrative.
- With bullish analyst support and earnings approaching, the setup looks strong, but expectations are rising quickly.
- Special Report: Elon Musk’s $1 Quadrillion AI IPO
After months of frustration, Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ: AMZN) is finally showing signs of life. Shares are trading around $240, up from about $200 in the last week of March—a roughly 20% rally in just a few weeks and the stock’s best run in months. The move has pushed Amazon back to levels not seen since early February and, for the first time in a while, is meaningfully shifting sentiment.
As MarketBeat recently highlighted, Amazon spent much of the past 18 months stuck in neutral, weighed down by heavy capital spending, uncertain returns from its AI investments, and limited momentum in its core businesses. That context makes the recent rally notable. The question now is whether this is the start of a sustained recovery or another short-lived rebound in a stock that has struggled to hold gains. Let’s take a closer look.
A Shift in Sentiment Seems to Be Taking Hold
What is Trump's "Project 2026"? (Ad)
Liberation Day wiped over $2 trillion from markets in a single day. Then a 90-day tariff pause added $4 trillion back to the S&P 500. Trump's AI initiatives sent Palantir up over 140%. Trader Larry Benedict says all of that was just the warm-up.
Benedict is calling what comes next 'Project 2026' - a move he believes could send billions, potentially trillions, into overlooked corners of the market. He's identified one ticker sitting at the center of it all, and he's revealing the name today at no cost.
Larry is calling it "Project 2026."This rally hasn’t come out of nowhere. Several developments have quietly aligned in Amazon’s favor, helping to rebuild investor confidence. One of the most important is growing acceptance that the company’s heavy investment in AI infrastructure may begin to pay off sooner than expected.
What was once seen primarily as a near-term drag is increasingly viewed as a necessary investment to secure long-term growth, particularly for AWS.
That view gained traction after CEO Andy Jassy’s latest shareholder letter revealed that AWS is generating more than $15 billion in annualized AI revenue—one of the clearest signs yet that the company’s large-scale spending is starting to produce returns.
At the same time, reports of a potential Globalstar deal have added strategic intrigue. While still speculative, the idea that Amazon could accelerate its satellite and connectivity ambitions reinforces the narrative that the company is positioning itself for the next phase of technological infrastructure beyond its current businesses.
Together, these developments have helped shift the narrative from near-term costs and uncertainty to longer-term opportunity and expansion.
Analysts Are Backing Recent Momentum
The rally is gaining credibility from ongoing analyst support. In April, firms including Wells Fargo and Citizens JMP reiterated Buy or equivalent ratings, signaling continued confidence in Amazon’s growth prospects.
Price targets are notable too—Wells Fargo’s reaches as high as $315. From today’s levels, that implies roughly 30% upside even after the recent gains. For a stock that has struggled to sustain momentum, renewed analyst conviction matters.
Technically, the picture is improving as well. The relative strength index (RSI) is moving toward overbought territory, which in the early stages of a breakout can indicate strength rather than being an immediate red flag. Amazon’s upward momentum, once established, could outlast that of many peers.
This mix of improving fundamentals, supportive analyst commentary, and stronger price action is what gives the current rally its credibility.
Some Risks Still Remain
That said, the setup is not risk-free. A 20% gain in a few weeks raises expectations, and earnings due later next week will reset the bar. Investors will be watching for confirmation that the improving story is backed by tangible progress—especially in AWS growth and returns on AI-related spending.
Amazon has seen sharp rallies before that faded as bullish conviction waned. Until the company can consistently deliver against its long-term strategy, sentiment remains vulnerable to reversal.
The potential Globalstar deal, while strategically interesting, also introduces uncertainty. Large acquisitions take time to play out, and the market’s initial reaction—Amazon’s stock dipped on the news—suggests some skepticism.
For now, the balance appears to be shifting in Amazon’s favor: the stock has broken out of its recent range, sentiment is improving, and analyst support is strong. Still, with earnings approaching and the stock no longer as discounted as it was last month, this isn’t a risk-free entry point—the bar for success is higher after the recent rally.
The War Won't Last Forever: 3 Stocks That Could Lead the Recovery
Written by Bridget Bennett. Date Posted: 4/8/2026.
Key Points
- Citigroup's global treasury services business spans over 160 countries, making it uniquely positioned to benefit from a rebound in cross-border economic activity once the conflict ends.
- Verizon's 5.7% dividend yield and 22 consecutive years of dividend growth give investors a defensive anchor while they wait for the communications sector to recover.
- Delta Air Lines owns the only airline-operated oil refinery in the United States, a competitive edge that has kept its stock resilient while rival carriers suffered double-digit declines.
- Special Report: Elon Musk’s $1 Quadrillion AI IPO
The Dow is in correction territory. Oil has surged past $110 a barrel. Financials, communications, and airlines are among the worst-performing sectors since the Iran conflict began in late February. For many investors, the instinct is to look away.
But Oxford Club Chief Income Strategist Marc Lichtenfeld is looking closer—specifically at stocks inside those beaten-down sectors that haven't broken down with everything else. Relative strength during a selloff isn't random. When the cycle turns, the names that held up tend to be the first ones institutional money flows back into. Lichtenfeld sees that setup forming now across three familiar names.
Citigroup: Global Reach Is Its Moat
The financial sector has taken a beating since the Iran conflict began. Rising oil prices threaten to slow the economy, which means less borrowing, fewer IPOs, and weaker investment banking revenue across the board.
What is Trump's "Project 2026"? (Ad)
Liberation Day wiped over $2 trillion from markets in a single day. Then a 90-day tariff pause added $4 trillion back to the S&P 500. Trump's AI initiatives sent Palantir up over 140%. Trader Larry Benedict says all of that was just the warm-up.
Benedict is calling what comes next 'Project 2026' - a move he believes could send billions, potentially trillions, into overlooked corners of the market. He's identified one ticker sitting at the center of it all, and he's revealing the name today at no cost.
Larry is calling it "Project 2026."But Citigroup (NYSE: C) has held up better than many of its mega-bank peers—and Lichtenfeld says the reason is its treasury and trade solutions business.
While JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) and Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) dominate domestic headlines, Citigroup operates in more than 160 countries and processes roughly $3 trillion in daily transactions through its cash-management platform.
That global footprint matters. A company based in Mongolia or Saudi Arabia is far more likely to turn to Citi for cash management than to any other Wall Street bank. And once that relationship is in place, it's extremely sticky. Switching cash-management providers is operationally complex, which gives Citigroup a durable revenue stream competitors can't easily replicate.
Lichtenfeld expects to see improving margins in Citigroup's next earnings report, scheduled for April 14. The stock trades at roughly 11 times forward earnings, well below its five-year average. In addition, Citigroup's ongoing strategic repositioning—spinning off its Mexico consumer business and reinvesting in commercial banking and wealth—could give the valuation room to expand once macro pressure eases.
If financial stocks rebound quickly when the conflict ends, Lichtenfeld sees that as a signal the global economy is healing. If they don't, it may be a warning worth paying attention to.
Verizon: A 5.9% Yield With a Defensive Edge
Consumer uncertainty tends to push people toward cheaper alternatives, and Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ) sits at the premium end of the wireless market.
That positioning is a headwind in the short term but a tailwind when sentiment improves. People don't downgrade from Verizon because they dislike the service—they do it because the budget gets tight. When confidence returns, so does the willingness to pay for premium.
In the meantime, Verizon's dividend does much of the heavy lifting. The company has raised its payout for 22 consecutive years. In January, it declared a quarterly dividend of about 71 cents per share, which puts the forward yield at roughly 5.9%. Free cash flow more than covers the dividend, with guidance calling for at least $21.5 billion in 2026—a year-over-year increase of more than 7%.
New CEO Dan Schulman has moved aggressively since taking over in October 2025, cutting $9 billion in combined operating and capital expenses and authorizing a $25 billion share buyback program over the next three years.
Verizon also completed its acquisition of Frontier Communications, expanding its fiber access to more than 30 million homes and businesses. Lichtenfeld notes that if post-conflict government spending shifts back toward infrastructure, Frontier's rural broadband footprint could become a meaningful growth driver.
Delta: Refinery Changes the Math on Airlines
Airlines are the most obvious casualty of any conflict that sends oil prices surging. But Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL) has a structural advantage no other U.S. carrier can match: it owns the Trainer Refinery in Pennsylvania through its subsidiary Monroe Energy.
That 185,000-barrel-per-day facility produces about 52,000 barrels of jet fuel daily, offsetting 40% to 50% of Delta's domestic fuel needs. When crude prices spiked after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, the refinery saved Delta roughly $800 million.
With Brent crude above $110 a barrel amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions, the refinery is proving its worth again. While competitors have posted double-digit declines, Delta's stock has remained essentially flat since February.
There's an additional wrinkle: the refinery also produces diesel, which Delta can trade or swap for jet fuel. With diesel prices at elevated levels, that trade is generating meaningful value on its own.
Delta has maintained its full-year 2026 earnings guidance of $6.50 to $7.50 per share, while most peers have pulled or widened their outlooks. The stock trades at roughly 9x trailing earnings with a forward P/E near 9.3, making it one of the cheaper names in the S&P 500 relative to its earnings growth trajectory.
Relative Strength Now, Potential Outperformance Later
The common thread across all three names is relative strength during sector weakness. That pattern tends to matter when cycles turn. If the Iran conflict ends and oil begins to normalize, the sectors being punished hardest—financials, communications, airlines—could see some of the sharpest snapbacks. And within those groups, the stocks that held up best during the downturn have historically been the ones that lead the recovery.
None of this requires predicting when the war ends. It requires watching which names the market is quietly telling you it believes in most.
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