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Could Ross Stores Stock Hit $200 by Christmas? Here Are 3 Reasons Analysts Think So
Written by Sam Quirke. Article Published: 12/5/2025.
Summary
- Shares of Ross Stores have surged to record highs after blowout earnings and bullish forward guidance.
- Several Wall Street analysts have been raising their price targets to $200 and beyond.
- Technical indicators and improving macro conditions support further upside, with $175 acting as a key support level.
Ross Stores Inc. (NASDAQ: ROST) is finishing the year with the kind of momentum most retailers can only dream of.
Shares closed just under $180 on Wednesday, Dec. 3—its highest close ever—extending a run that has seen the stock jump more than 10% in the past two weeks, 44% since March, and 150% since mid-2022. For a discount retailer, that's an impressive performance.
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While other consumer names have been challenged by inflation, slowing spending, and inventory glut, Ross has powered through. Now, as the market enters its final stretch of 2025, several catalysts suggest this rally has more room to run. Here are three reasons it could be trading above $200 by Christmas.
1. Fundamentals Are Still Driving ROST's Rally
Ross's latest quarterly results showed a business firing on all cylinders.
The company's fiscal Q3 2026 earnings, released at the end of November, comfortably beat analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings. Revenue climbed nearly 10% year-over-year, and management raised full-year guidance—one of the clearest bullish signals a company can give.
CEO James Conroy struck an upbeat tone on the earnings call, highlighting continued sales growth, disciplined cost control, and improving margins. He also reaffirmed confidence in the company's 2026 roadmap, suggesting room for both expansion and efficiency gains.
These aren't the numbers or the tone of a company that's peaking or about to enter a prolonged consolidation. Instead, the market appears to be repricing Ross to the upside.
Such moves often take time to run their course; expect the post-earnings tailwind to persist for several weeks.
2. Analyst Targets Point to Further Upside
Analysts broadly are not only reinforcing their bullish outlook but intensifying it.
Bank of America, for example, reiterated its Buy rating following last month's report, assigning the stock a $200 price target.
JPMorgan Chase echoed that optimism, setting a $205 target.
This week, Jefferies joined them, maintaining its Buy rating and matching JPMorgan's $205 target.
With multiple analyst teams forecasting the stock will not only cross the $200 milestone but continue higher, investors have additional conviction to lean on.
The common thread in these reports is Ross's favorable position in the consumer sector. Unlike high-end retailers that rely on discretionary spending, Ross benefits when shoppers trade down, and that dynamic remains in force.
Even if economic conditions tighten in early 2026, Ross is one of the retail names most likely to see demand hold up or even strengthen.
3. The Broader Setup Backs the Bulls
From a technical perspective, Ross's chart remains textbook bullish. Despite intermittent corrections, the uptrend that began in mid-2022 is intact.
The recent push toward $180 has been backed by heavy volume, which suggests the buying has substance rather than being purely speculative.
The only cautionary point is the stock's relative strength index (RSI), which sits around 78—firmly in overbought territory. Context matters, though: when a stock re-prices higher after strong earnings, elevated RSI readings are common and tend to reflect momentum more than imminent danger. Often, they accompany further gains.
What to Watch as the Year Comes to an End
Key support now sits near $175, which should act as a springboard for any move toward $200. If the stock holds that zone in the coming sessions, the technical picture remains in the bulls' favor.
Meanwhile, the macro backdrop is supportive. The benchmark S&P 500 index has rallied about 5% in the past two weeks, risk appetite has improved, and investors are rewarding companies with clear earnings visibility.
Ross fits this narrative: defensive enough to withstand volatility but growing fast enough to attract momentum buyers. As the year closes, it's reasonable to expect the stock to continue pushing higher.
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