I'm about to burn some bridges...
What I uncovered about the Fed’s recent rate cut — and what it actually means for crypto — has already made some powerful people uncomfortable.
For months, Wall Street has been telling investors the same thing:
“Rate cuts won’t matter for crypto." ... “Bitcoin is already priced in.” ... “Nothing changes.”
That narrative is dead wrong.
The data I've uncovered shows something completely different – and it's so explosive that I've been getting "friendly" calls asking me to keep quiet.
But I can't stay silent when I see the biggest wealth transfer in crypto history about to begin.
We’ve seen a similar pattern before…
Capital flows first into safety… then into Bitcoin… and finally into a small group of overlooked coins that can move 5x, 10x, even more.
THAT is the phase we’re approaching now.
The Fed's recent cut isn't just monetary policy… It's the starting gun for what I'm calling the "Great Crypto Revolution."
I've documented everything in a book that some advised me not to publish. This book walks you through profiting in the “Great Crypto Revolution.”
It’s the “missing link” connecting rate cuts, institutional flows, and finding altcoins that could deliver massive returns.
My publisher thinks I'm crazy for giving it away for free. My advisors think I'm committing career suicide.
Maybe they're right. But I'd rather be broke and honest than rich and complicit.
Get your FREE copy of "Crypto Revolution" before I change my mind.
Some truths are worth the risk.
Bryce Paul
Crypto 101
Here's Where Wall Street Sees the S&P 500 Index Heading in 2026
Reported by Leo Miller. Posted: 1/5/2026.
While the S&P 500 Index started 2025 on shaky ground, it ultimately delivered for investors. Through April 8, 2025, the index was down more than 16% year to date. By year-end, however, the S&P 500 had flipped that return, rising more than 16% in 2025. Including dividends, the index's total return was nearly 18%. Below, we review the index's journey through 2025.
More importantly, we'll look at what Wall Street analysts are forecasting for 2026. Overall, analysts expect another solid year for the index despite lingering investor fears of an "artificial intelligence (AI) bubble."
2025 in Review: Markets Rebound Strongly After Tariff Woes Fade
In late January 2025, Chinese startup Deepseek dominated stock market headlines, claiming it had built its R1 AI model at a fraction of the cost of models developed by U.S. firms. That announcement sent many semiconductor stocks lower amid concerns about AI over-investment. The S&P 500, however, remained relatively steady, falling only about 1.3% in February.
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What You Need to Know
- Although it faced huge bumps in the road along the way, the S&P 500 Index performed impressively in 2025.
- S&P 500 price targets for 2026 indicate that more upside is ahead.
- Despite what happens in a given year, the S&P 500's long-term performance remains its calling card.
The index's descent intensified in March as President Trump ratcheted up rhetoric on tariffs. Uncertainty around U.S. trade policy was a primary reason the S&P 500 dropped almost 6% that month.
Then in early April, President Trump held his "Liberation Day" press conference and announced steep reciprocal tariffs on many countries. This triggered a massive sell-off: the S&P 500 fell 12% from April 2 to April 8. The index rebounded more than 10% on April 9 after the president issued a 90-day pause on most of those tariffs.
Although volatility persisted in the following weeks, the index gained roughly 5.4% from the start of April through the end of May. Trump's decision to soften his tariff proposals eased investor concerns and helped set the stage for a strong second half. After May, the S&P 500 posted positive returns in six of the final seven months of 2025.
Renewed optimism around AI was a major driver of the index's late-year gains. The Federal Reserve also cut interest rates three times, providing an important tailwind for stocks.
2026 Forecasts: Analysts Eye 10% S&P 500 Upside
Data from Yardeni Research compiles S&P 500 year-end price targets from more than 20 analysts. On average, these analysts see the index finishing 2026 at 7,555. On Jan. 5 the index closed at roughly 6,902, so the average forecast implies just under 10% upside for 2026. None of the compiled price targets fall below the S&P 500's then-current level: Stifel Nicolaus's 7,000 target is the lowest and still suggests about 1.4% upside, while Oppenheimer's 8,100 target is the most bullish, implying a rise of over 17%.
By comparison, analysts surveyed in December 2024 had an average S&P 500 target of 6,614 for 2025. That estimate proved reasonably accurate, finishing only about 3.5% below the index's actual year-end level of 6,845.
Year-end price targets for 2024, however, missed the mark more dramatically. The average target was roughly 4,625, about 27% below the S&P 500's actual 2024 closing level of 5,822. Yardeni has compiled this data since 2021; interestingly, aside from 2025, the index finished above the most bullish analyst target in each year covered.
The S&P 500: A Powerful Tool for Long-Term Investment Success
As with individual stocks, S&P 500 price targets are just that—targets. Analysts don't have a crystal ball, and the index's 2026 performance could differ materially from current estimates in either direction. Still, it's notable that analysts are generally positive and that their forecasts have tended to be conservative in recent years.
Investors should remember that the S&P 500's real strength is its tendency to generate returns over decades, not in any single year. On Dec. 31, 1999, the S&P 500 Total Return Index closed near 2,021. On Dec. 31, 2025 it closed near 15,220—more than a 7x increase over 25 years. That total-return series includes dividends, while the price-target comparisons above do not.
The index's strong long-term record comes despite severe drawdowns—down 23% in 2002, 38% in 2008 and 19% in 2022. Past performance does not guarantee future results, but those declines illustrate why a buy-and-hold approach to the S&P 500 has often rewarded patient investors over time.
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